
The British, including Colin Firth, might be coming for Oscars Sunday night.
(Courtesy: The Weinstein Company)
I'm feeling dizzy, a little disoriented and weak in the knees. My head is spinning and, frankly, I'm getting a little nauseated.
That's because I can't put off my Academy Award predictions any longer.
Why does such a seemingly simple task push grown men and women to the brink of a breakdown at this time every year?
I'll tell you why. Taxes!
Just kidding. It's fear of FAILURE, although many of us who have chosen a niche career path less-traveled (unless you toss in casual fan-boy/fan-girl critics, which I do not) have grown quite familiar with the term.
But enough about film critics who scribble notes in the dark and stare at bright walls with moving pictures for a living (You call this a ... oh, never mind).
So, for the 31st time, here's who I think will win Oscars (Sunday night on ABC) and who, in my semi-humble opinion, should win.
Maestro, strike up the band! And the Oscar goes to ...
Supporting Actress
The only thing we can count on happening quickly at the 83rd running of the golden statuettes is that either the Supporting Actress winner or the Supporting Actor victor will shuffle to the podium early in the tedious and overly long telecast.
I like Amy Adams as Mark Wahlberg's spunky girlfriend in "The Fighter." Melissa Leo, who portrays Wahlberg's mom, has a string of victories in this category already this year. But Leo has also purchased some silly, glamour-shot photo ads in the trades that could hurt her chances.
Young Hailee Steinfeld (tremendous in "True Grit") should be in the Best Actress race instead of this one. If Steinfeld pulls off a surprise win, it could mean a sweep for "True Grit," which blindsided even filmmakers Joel and Ethan Coen with 10 nominations including Best Picture.
Who will win: Melissa Leo. There's just too much momentum for her going in.
Who should win: Jacki Weaver. Who? I know many of you haven't had a chance to see the Australian's work in the superb Aussie crime-drama "Animal Kingdom." If and when you do, though, you won't soon forget it.
Supporting Actor
There's an article floating around the Internet today (Feb. 24) theorizing that "loud" performances win Academy Awards. I'll go along with that, especially in this race. If there is a sure thing this Oscar season, it's Christian Bale (also a k a Batman) as Mark Wahlberg's crack-addicted boxer brother in "The Fighter."
I feel compelled to mention, though, that all the other nominees are strong, especially Jeremy Renner in Ben Affleck's "The Town."
Who will win: Bale, for his "loud" and flawless performance.
Who should win: Bale.
Actress
My gut tells me this is Natalie Portman's year. She takes a mean "Black Swan" diva dive as a New York ballerina unraveling as her big moment in the spotlight approaches.
Annette Bening, chalking up her fourth Oscar nomination, was extremely strong as the doctor in a same-sex union in "The Kids Are All Right."
Who will win: Portman, but don't expect her to sprout feathers and dive into the orchestra pit.
Who should win: Portman, I suppose, even though Jennifer Lawrence really got into her "Winter's Bone" character. And there's this: Bening should probably be handed a golden statuette every time she goes before the camera. She's that gifted.
Actor
This one's a tough call. Javier Bardem was his usual sensational self in "Biutiful," and fellow nominee James Franco ("127 Hours") is co-hosting the Oscar shindig with Anne Hathaway. It would be a coups for the Academy if a co-host won. I don't see that happening.
And another thing. If the Coen boys get "True Grit" snowballing, The Dude, Jeff Bridges, might just land a companion Best Actor statuette for the one he got last year for "Crazy Heart." I don't see that happening, however.
Who will win: Colin Firth, as tongue-challenged King George VI in "The King's Speech."
Who should win: Fa-fa-Firth.
Director
When all is right in the Oscar world, the Best Director and Best Picture leave the auditorium in winner sympatico. That's not always the case, which is something I've never been able to fully comprehend. How can you have a Best Picture without the best direction? On the other hand, when someone wins Best Director how can they not have helmed the best film?
That said, this race is a toss-up from this aisle seat. But let's go with ...
Who will win: Tom Hooper for "The King's Speech"
Who should win: Hooper
Best Picture
Frankly, I am not a fan of supersizing the Best Picture race to 10 nominees, which the Academy returned to last year (a throwback to the '30s and '40s when it was common).
I understand why: to increase trade paper ad campaign revenue and perhaps stir the Oscar ceremony interest pot.
So, in this age of bottom-line economics, we're probably stuck with Oscar's version of the Top 10 list. At least for a while.
There are some really good films in the running this year. "The Fighter," "Black Swan," "The Social Network," "True Grit" and "The King's Speech," just to name a few.
So ...
Which flick will win: "The King's Speech." It's a big year for the Brits onscreen and off, with the upcoming royal wedding.
Which flick should win: "The Social Network," which was a symphony of deceit, great dialogue and extraordinary editing onscreen and has needlessly taken over our real lives for no real reason.
That reminds me. I'll be sharing my discourse on that sad fact soon on my Facebook page. I hope you like my comments, friends.
And, oh yeah. Tweet me!